Friday, September 16, 2005

Sharing is Caring

Basketball IQ and Forum Blue and Gold got our brains pulsing (always a frightening endeavor): Is this Kings team still the passing maniacs of old?

BBIQ (why haven't I seen this site before?!) looks at league-wide assists per made field goal statistics for 04-05, and the Kings were th 7th highest squad in the L, behind notable offensive juggernauts like Utah, New Orleans and Minnesota. Needless to say, the statistic doesn't necessarily measure offensive fortitude.

But it does measure something seemingly valuable - which teams are score via the pass and which score via the great individual effort.

Sacramento at 6th seemed low, so we decided to look back over the last couple seasons to judge whether 04-05 was an aberration or a trend. The 04-05 number was 62.7 percent. 2003-04 was markedly higher, at 69.4 percent. The 2002-03 season has an assist per made field goal rating of 62.7 percent. The lovely season of 2001-02 (I hate L.A.) came with a 59.9 percent rating.

Bigger doesn't necessarily mean better, at least on a season-wide basis. The Chris Webber Effect (the complete halting of the offensive cogs when one player gets the ball, for you non-Sacramentans) seems pretty defined by this, however.

This would be misleading, though. In the 2003-04 season, when assistedness was peaking, the Kings had a 68% assisted field goal rate when Webb was on the court (limited minutes, thanks to the knee). It was 69% when he was off the floor.

Brad Miller showed his value in this category - with him on the court, 71% of made field goals were assisted, versus 65% with him on the bench. Vlade? Same numbers - it makes sense because Vlade and Brad were typically on the floor together.

Peja's on-court/off-court split for assisted field goal rate was 70% to 64%. Bibby's was 72% to 60%. Christie's? 70% to 65%.

The second team dropped the statistic, with Anthony Peeler, Bobby Jackson and Darius Songaila having on-court assisted field goal rates near an above-average 60%. So it wasn't The Chris Webber Effect - it was The Bench Effect.

Miller remains essential to the passing game of the Kings. In 2004-05, the team's assisted field goal rate was 66% while Big Brad was on the court and 57% with him off. That's a very significant difference. Bibby also has a nice split, 64% to 54%. Peja had a 65% to 56% split. Mobley, a starter for much of the season, had a 61% to 63% on-off split (versus Doug Christie's 69-60 split) indicates he was as much of quick trigger/ball hogger as we believed. So, The Chris Webber Effect will now be dubbed The Cuttino Mobley Effect.

Bonzi Wells, our new SG, had a 61%-60% split last season with Memphis. SAR had a 60%-58% with an overall poor assisting Portland team, which is much better than Kenny Thomas-with-a-good-assisting-team's numbers.

Anyways, who knows what this really means. We try to use math and shit to prove things, but sometimes we just use math and shit for the hell of it.


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Tom Ziller

The Sacramento Kings are a tough act to follow, literally.

SKB does the dirty work so you can forget about the blood, sweat and tears.

Oh, you'll still need the tears in April, though.

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