Wednesday, July 20, 2005

The Bonzi Bonanza

The Memphis Commercial-Appeal is reporting that it's down to Sacramento and the Clippers for the services of one Bonzi Wells, and that something should happen this week.

Why is L.A. interested in Bonzi? To back up Cuttino and Maggette? That's the only thing that makes sense right now. They have at the 4, Maggette at the 3, Cuttino at the 2 and Livingston (who may be another year or two away) at the 1. How does Bonzi Wells make them a better team? And why would they still be looking at paying Marko Jaric starter's money if they're serious about Bonzi?

I can only imagine that they know Jaric is gone, because with the Cat, Bonzi and Marko, you have supermegaredundency. Bonzi and Mobley or Jaric and Mobley are redundent enough. All three is just silly, especially with Maggette also on the team.

As I've written before, I'd support Bonzi in a Kings jersey. He's physical and is a good scorer, whether shooting mid-range jumpers or getting to the hoop. His stats from the past two years are absolutely horrible, and he's really not worth $8M.

But he compares favorably to Mobley in a couple of key areas important to our squad at this point - rebounding, assists and steal. For his career, Wells is averaging almost 3 more boards, 0.6 assists and 0.9 steals per 48 than Mobley.

Mobley is a better shooter, and doesn't have as many turnovers (likely because when he handles the ball, he almost immediately redirects it to the net). But with Brad Miller and Mike Bibby on the squad, Wells won't be handling the rock as much as he did in Portland, where his T/O numbers were the worst.

And it appears a big problem in Memphis for Wells was playing time. He played less than 25 minutes per game in Memphis. His minutes (and overall numbers) were much better in Portland.

Cuttino averaged 38 minutes a game for us last year. If we keep Mo Evans around (which is looking less likely, given Mo's agent's comments in the Bee this morning), it's reasonable to think Bonzi could get 30-35 minutes per game with time for Mo, Bobby Jackson and Kevin Martin getting the rest.

Mo got 19 minutes a game last year. It's reasonable that if Bobby weren't injured, 11-15 per game for Mo would be possibly, with the Bobby&Bibby backcourt playing sparingly until late in the season.

Martin can back up Peja, and possibly Bibby if Wells is on the floor. Ten minutes per game is the minimum for the development of Martin, 15 would probably be best.

Francisco Garcia won't be playing much regardless, barring an injury.

The only thing I would worry about with Wells is having him too long. Three years should be the max, but I would most like two years at a reasonable price with a team option for the third. He's a risk at this point, but I think he's a quantifiable one that has a good probability of panning out.

Of course, I'm also dumb and hardly know that with which I speak.

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Editor:
Tom Ziller

The Sacramento Kings are a tough act to follow, literally.

SKB does the dirty work so you can forget about the blood, sweat and tears.

Oh, you'll still need the tears in April, though.

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